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    Nacional vs Porto Prediction and Betting Tips | February 15th 2026

    Nacional will welcome Porto to the Estádio da Madeira in the Primeira Liga on Sunday. The visitors are at the top of the standings and have a 35-point lead over Alvinegros.

    The hosts are winless in their last two league games and were held to a scoreless draw by Casa Pia in their previous outing. They have registered just one win in the Primeira Liga this year.

    Dragões are also winless in their last two league outings. They suffered their first defeat of the league campaign earlier this month, losing 2-1 away to Casa Pia. They faced Sporting earlier this week and played out a 1-1 draw. On-loan midfielder Seko Fofana scored on his debut in the 77th minute, and Luis Javier Suárez scored a stoppage-time equalizer for Sporting.


    Nacional vs Porto Head-to-Head and Key Numbers

    • The two teams have crossed paths 49 times in all competitions. The visitors have been the dominant side in these meetings, recording 37 wins. Alvinegros have eight wins, and four games have ended in draws.
    • They last met in the reverse fixture in September, and Dragões secured a 1-0 home win.
    • Four of the last six meetings between them have produced under 2.5 goals.
    • Porto have the best defensive record in the league this season, conceding seven goals.
    • Nacional are unbeaten in their last four home games, recording two wins. They have scored 10 goals in that period.
    • The visitors have played the fewest draws (2) in the Primeira Liga this season.
    • Dragões have scored a goal each in four of their five league games in 2026.
    • The hosts have won just one of their last 14 meetings against the league leaders.

    Nacional vs Porto Prediction

    Alvinegros failed to score for the first time in eight league games last week and will look to bounce back in this home game. Their last two wins against the league leaders have been registered at home.

    Lucas França, João Aurélio, Ivanildo Fernandes, Ulisses, and Filipe Soares are sidelined for the hosts due to injuries. Léo Santos is suspended, while Gabriel Veron is ineligible to face his parent club.

    Dragões have seen a drop in form and are winless in two consecutive games for the first time this season. Notably, they have scored a goal each in their four away games in 2026 and will look to improve upon that record.

    Martim Fernandes, Nehuén Pérez, Jakub Kiwior, and Luuk de Jong remain sidelined for the visitors. In-form striker Samu Aghehowa was injured against Sporting and faces a lengthy spell on the sidelines due to a torn ACL.

    The visitors have won five of their last six league meetings against Nacional while keeping clean sheets and should be able to eke out a narrow win.

    Prediction: Nacional 1-2 Porto


    Nacional vs Porto Betting Tips

    Tip 1: Result – Porto to win

    Tip 2: Goals – Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Over 2.5 goals

    Tip 3: Both teams to score – Yes

    Tip 4: At least one goal to be scored in the second half – Yes